Make It Stop!
Make it stop! When will the bear market end and things get back to normal?
The answer is easy if you think about the market's Circle of Life: Contraction, Recovery, Expansion, and Slowdown. Each phase has its own characteristics, so if you want to know when pain will stop, you must recognize where you are in the cycle. The stock market is usually early, peaking before Contractions and bottoming before Recovery.
So, what are the typical signs of Contraction?
1. Falling inflation
2. Falling employment
3. Falling earnings
4. Falling interest rates
None of these characteristics is present, so we must still be in "Slowdown" mode.
Call us if you'd like to discuss what these means for your retirement portfolio.
Robert Lloyd, CFA®
Chief Investment Officer
Lloyds Intrepid Wealth Management
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