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Central Markets by Robert Lloyd, CFA

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy of the  information cannot be guaranteed. All opinions and outlooks are subject to change.

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  • Writer's pictureRobert Lloyd, CFA

Make It Stop!


Make it stop! When will the bear market end and things get back to normal?


The answer is easy if you think about the market's Circle of Life: Contraction, Recovery, Expansion, and Slowdown. Each phase has its own characteristics, so if you want to know when pain will stop, you must recognize where you are in the cycle. The stock market is usually early, peaking before Contractions and bottoming before Recovery.


So, what are the typical signs of Contraction?

1. Falling inflation

2. Falling employment

3. Falling earnings

4. Falling interest rates


None of these characteristics is present, so we must still be in "Slowdown" mode.


Call us if you'd like to discuss what these means for your retirement portfolio.


Chief Investment Officer

Lloyds Intrepid Wealth Management

Lloyds Intrepid LLC is doing business as Lloyds Intrepid Wealth Management. Lloyds Intrepid LLC offers investment advisory services in the State of Texas where registered and in other jurisdictions where exempted. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Lloyds Intrepid LLC and its advisers do not provide legal, tax or accounting advice. Lloyds Intrepid LLC formulates retirement plans, investment strategies, portfolio construction and investment due diligence for clients with signed investment advisory agreements with us. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy of the information cannot be guaranteed. All opinions and outlooks are subject to change.


© 2022 Lloyds Intrepid LLC

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