Central Markets by Robert Lloyd, CFA

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy of the  information cannot be guaranteed. All opinions and outlooks are subject to change.

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  • Robert Lloyd, CFA

How High Will The Fed Go?

The big question is how high will the Fed raise interest rates? If we compare key rates

like consumer price inflation, Federal Funds rate and the US 10-year Treasury Bond

yield, it is obvious that rates could go much higher.


If the Fed actually followed the data, as they say they do, Federal Funds rates would

already be well above zero based on the much higher rate of consumer inflation. That is

not what is happening. There are strong political pressures at work here: Washington

wants to avoid both inflation and recession. Our view is that these are mutually exclusive

options given the supply chain constraints, residual Covid restrictions, and change in

consumer behavior.





Robert Lloyd, CFA®

Chief Investment Officer

Lloyds Intrepid Wealth Management

Lloyds Intrepid LLC is doing business as Lloyds Intrepid Wealth Management. Lloyds Intrepid LLC offers investment advisory services in the State of Texas where registered and in other jurisdictions where exempted. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Lloyds Intrepid LLC and its advisers do not provide legal, tax or accounting advice. Lloyds Intrepid LLC formulates retirement plans, investment strategies, portfolio construction and investment due diligence for clients with signed investment advisory agreements with us. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy of the information cannot be guaranteed. All opinions and outlooks are subject to change.


© 2021 Lloyds Intrepid LLC

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